Economics

Trump’s trade war on China would be unwinnable

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in the Australian Financial Review, February 7 2017.

It's time for Australia to get ready for a trade war between the United States and China.

Xi Jinping may be preaching trade, but China’s opening up has slowed

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article originally appeared on The Conversation, January 18 2017.

When it comes to offering global economic leadership, the divergence in narrative and optics coming from the US and China could hardly be starker.

China isn't Australia's biggest trade problem: it's the US

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article originally appeared in the Sydney Morning Herald, November 30 2016.

One of the more bizarre sights in Australian politics in the coming months may be watching local Donald Trump wannabes trying to use our economic ties with China to fan popular discontent. 

China’s institutional impediments to productivity growth

December

ACRI’s Professor James Laurenceson discusses issues surrounding new estimates of productivity change in China calculated by Professor Harry X. Wu. He makes two points of reflection on a well-constructed and thought-provoking paper that presents a sombre view of China’s productivity performance. First, living standards are ultimately reflected in labour productivity and China’s labour productivity has continued to increase at a rapid rate.

Private property developers are really driving China’s debt: new research

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article originally appeared on The Conversation, October 28 2016.

China has a debt problem. But research shows that it’s not the industrial sector or state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to blame but the booming private property market.

Barnaby Joyce’s mixed messaging on property rights

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article originally appeared on The Interpreter, the blog of the Lowy Institute for International Policy, October 28 2016.

There’s been a good deal of mixed messaging coming from Australia's Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce recently.

The economy is faltering? Chinese consumers aren’t buying it

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article originally appeared in the South China Morning Post, October 19 2016.

Are economists China-blind?

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article originally appeared on the East Asia Forum and was reprinted in the Australian Financial Review, October 10 2016.

An update on Chinese investment in Australian residential real estate

December

By James Laurenceson

Chinese investors remain prominent relative to those from other countries but marginal compared with local buyers. More than a year of heightened compliance activity by the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) has yielded little evidence that foreign investment rules have been widely flouted.

Chinese-language media in Australia: Developments, challenges and opportunities

December

On September 8 2016 the Australia-China Relations Institute (ACRI) at the University of Technology Sydney released an independent report on Chinese-language media in Australia.    

The report is authored by Wanning Sun, a Professor of Media and Communication at UTS with a decade of experience conducting academic research into the sector.

Professor Sun details a rapidly changing media landscape that outsiders on the one hand find inscrutable but also regularly place at the heart of the Chinese government’s attempts to exert soft power.